Saturday, November 08, 2014

Sequelitis (Yet Again)

The Atlantic magazine grouses.

... The announcement of Toy Story 4 is yet another example of Pixar’s disturbing descent into sequel-itis. For the studio’s first 15 years, it declined to make sequels for any of its films except Toy Story. Since then, it’s hardly seemed capable of making anything else. Apart from Brave, we’ve had Cars 2 and Monsters University. The Good Dinosaur, as noted, hasn’t been able to make it to theaters at all, and who knows when or if it will.

The future slate looks still grimmer in this regard. Again, first the good news: Next year we should see Pete Docter’s Inside Out, which sounds like the best bet for classic Pixar magic in half a decade. (Docter directed arguably the studios most underrated feature, Monsters Inc., and arguably its best, Up.) And Toy Story 3’s Unkrich is working on a movie based on the Dia de los Muertos that does not yet have a release date.

... And the bad news: Every other upcoming Pixar feature that’s been announced is a sequel. Finding Dory in 2016, Toy Story 4 in 2017, and (as yet unscheduled) The Incredibles 2 and (brief shudder) Cars 3. For those keeping track at home, that’s a total of four announced sequels and two announced non-sequels. It’s tough to think of a more conspicuous advertisement that the creative wells at Pixar are running dry.

What the Atlantic is actually complaining about is A) Large Corporations are money-making entities, and B) Time doesn't stand still.

Pixar, at the beginning, was a small, struggling studio totally dependent on Steve Jobs' deep pockets and its production deal with Disney. It didn't have a catalogue of features (it hadn't been created yet) so no way could it make sequels. And the Pixar staff was utterly focused on getting the first feature launched, then the second, then the third. ...

Twenty years on, Pixar is a cog in the Disney profits machine, it has a long list of winning movies, and its talented artistic crew is focused on more than just the next feature. The studio makes sequels because it can, and because there is pressure from the mother ship to keep older titles alive.

Toy Story 4 is without doubt an example of Disney's desire for sequels, but so what? Toy Story 3 was a hit with both critics and audiences, so please tell us how this is an example of creative wells running dry.

There's only one solid indicator of empty wells: a boring, predictable movie. Few Pixar movies (we'll exclude the Cars franchise) meet this criterion.

Lastly, no studio stays on top forever. Crew members change, and so do public tastes. Disney Feature Animation was a spent force a decade ago; now it can do no wrong. DreamWorks had sixteen money-makers in a row, then hit a rough patch.

The only studio that has remained a commercial powerhouse through everybody else's ups and downs is Pixar. The Emeryville facility has yet to turn out a box office dud, but still gets accused of losing its mojo by over-the-hill monthlies. So it might be wiser to accuse Pixar of creative wimpishness at the point where its box office takes a nose dive.

Just a thought.


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Two In The Big Ten

The Book of Life is #10 in the Box Office Derby. And #1?

Domestic Box Office Top Performers

1). Big Hero 6 (DIS), 3,761 theaters / $15.8M Fri. (includes $1.4M late nights) / 3-day est. cume: $56M – $59M+ / Wk 1

2). Interstellar (PAR), 3,561 theaters / $16.5M to $18M Fri. (includes $2.7M Thursday) / 3-day est. cume: $52M-$53M / Total cume: $54.2M (includes $2.15M previews) / Wk 1

3). Gone Girl (FOX), 2,224 theaters (-610) / $1.8M Fri. / 3-day est. cume: $6M/ Total cume: $145M / Wk 6

4). Ouija (UNI), 2,680 theaters (-219) / $1.9M Fri. / 3-day est. cume: $5.7MM / Total cume: $43M / Wk 3

5). Fury (SONY), 2,834 theaters (-479) / $1.6M Fri. / 3-day est. cume: $5.5M / Total cume: $69M / Wk 4

6). Nightcrawler (OPRD), 2,766 theaters (0) / $1.6 Fri. / 3-day est. ume: $5.5M (-44%) / Total cume: $19M / Wk 2

7). St. Vincent (TWC), 2,455 theaters (-97) / $1.6M Fri. / 3-day est. cume: $5.3M / Total cume: $27M+ / Wk 5

8). John Wick (LGF), 2,152 theaters (-437) / $1.2M Fri. / 3-day est. cume: $4.1M / Total cume: $34M+ / Wk 3

9). Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day (DIS), 2,381 theaters (-515) / $900K Fri. / 3-day est. cume: $3.6M / Total cume: $59M+ / Wk 5

10). The Book of Life (FOX), 2,166 theaters (-628) / $650K Fri. / 3-day est. cume: $3M+ / Total cume: $45M / Wk 4

My prediction? Big Hero 6 breaks the $200 million barrier before its run is over. The Kock Calculator (c) would indicate a multiple of 4X opening weekend, which would carry it to something around $220-$240 million.

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Friday, November 07, 2014

An Award ... and Threat of an Award

Dawn of the Planet of the Apes gets a VFX trophy ...

The visual effects on Dawn of the Planet of the Apes topped last year’s Oscar winner Gravity, to win the feature VFX category at the 9th annual Hollywood Post Alliance Awards, Thursday at the Skirball Cultural Center in Los Angeles. ...

The eligibility period for the HPA Awards runs from September to September, which is why some of last year's Oscar winners and nominees competed against this year's hopefuls. ...

And we find out this. ...

... Fox, Apes’ studio, is currently campaigning for star Andy Serkis to get an Oscar nomination for his motion capture performance as Caesar.

Please ... please ... please somebody tell me this ain't so.

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Let's Marvel at Disney

One more red hot opening:

Disney’s “Big Hero 6″ has taken the lead spot at this weekend’s box office, heading for a finish as high as $66 million — enough to top a still-impressive launch in the $56 million range by Paramount’s “Interstellar,” according to Friday estimates.

Early numbers show both titles performing up to lofty expectations with “Interstellar” winning Friday with $20 million, followed by around $18 million for “Big Hero 6.” Saturday projections were showing “Hero” jumping to $28 million with “Interstellar” coming in around $22 million.

The lowest estimates for “Big Hero 6″ were coming in between $55 million and $60 million so the race could turn out to be a nail-biter by the end of the weekend. ...

Looks to me like audiences have grown weary of cartoons.

Not.

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First Thirty are the Hardest

There was, apparently, some back-patting being done at the midweek.

The mood was jovial and nostalgic at Wednesday’s Disney Television Animation’s 30th anniversary fete at Burbank’s Walt Disney Studios’ main theater.

The event, hosted by the International Animated Film Association (ASIFA) and Disney’s official fan club D23, featured an enlightening panel discussion moderated by D23’s Jeffrey Epstein with the studio’s award-winning creative talent: Bill Farmer (the voice of “Goofy”), Paul Rudish (executive producer of “Mickey Mouse” cartoon shorts); Jymn Magon (writer of “Duck Tales” and “Darkwing Duck”); Dan Povenmire and Jeff “Swampy” Marsh (co-executive producers of “Phineas and Ferb”); Rob LaDuca (executive producer of “Jake and the Never Land Pirates”); and Bob Schooley and Mark McCorkle (co-creators/executive producers of “Kim Possible”). ...

I was working in Disney Feature Animation when Disney tVA got launched.

It was the middle of 1984, and starting the division (which was Michael Eisner's brain wave) made perfect sense. Lots of money was being made by other studios in TV animation. There was no reason that Disney, the king of cartoons, shouldn't jump in and do the same.

Except some people in feature animation thought it was a terrible idea that destroyed the Disney legacy of quality animation. (My friend Chuck Richardson, who worked in Disney publicity, dug up an old Saturday Evening Post article that quoted Disney saying he had no desire to get into TV animation. "I turned out crude shorts back in the twenties," Walt said. "I have no desire to go back to doing animation like that."

But Michael Eisner did.

The purists weren't happy, but the division was profitable from the get-go. Gummi Bears, Duck Tales and a plethora of other series were being turned out hand over fist. The division expanded, then expanded again.

Ten years after it started there were forty writers on staff, and lots more production board artists. Disney Television Animatino was housed on the main lot and off the main lot in multiple buildings in three different Valley cities.

Today Diz TVA lives in two buildings in Glendale and Burbank, and cranks out solid animation performers that make the Berkshire-Hathaway of entertainment conglomerates steady profits.

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Thursday, November 06, 2014

Commerce

Never under-estimate the power of major box office.

Pixar Animation is returning to its most successful franchise, "Toy Story," for a fourth movie, to be directed by the studio's chief creative officer, John Lasseter.

Walt Disney Co., which owns Pixar, said Thursday during an earnings call that the latest incarnation of "Toy Story" will be released June 16, 2017.

Lasseter told The Times that "Toy Story 4" will be a love story and will pick up where "Toy Story 3" left off, when Woody, Buzz Lightyear and the rest of the series' toy chest of characters were handed down to a little girl named Bonnie. ...

And actually I think doing another Toy Story is fine, as long as there's a story and as long as it's entertaining.

The squeamishness about true artistes never doing sequels is silly anyway. It's really a myth that's never been true, but people believe what they want to believe. Even Walt did a Three Little Pigs sequel.

The difference between making yet another Princess musical, or one more funny animal movie, or Toy Story IV is minimal. (If IV does a billion dollars in gross receipts, trust me, Mr. Lasseter will find yet another story that Pixar "really wants to tell" and we'll be watching Toy Story V before too long.)

These things are all movies of a type, and each of them successful. They all get made because people enjoy watching them ... and studios are in the business of making money. (You do a super hero movie that cleans up, you do ANOTHER super hero movie. Or a singing and dancing animated cartoon, whatever.)

Addendum: Late at night, I screw up posts. (Hell, early in the morning, I screw up posts.) But everything is now fixed.

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Record Highs

Disney. I hear tell it's doing well.

“Our results for Fiscal 2014 were the highest in the company's history, marking our fourth consecutive year of record performance,” says CEO Robert Iger

The Walt Disney Company reported a record $48.8 billion in revenue for 2014, up 8 percent from a year-ago period.

The company's quarterly earnings came in on par with expectations with 89 cents per share on revenues of $12.39 billion. ...

I bet Disney would do almost as well without the wage suppression thingie.

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Crossover

MacFarlane-Groening aren't the only ones cross-pollinating. ...



There is also Groening-Groening. ...

And the tub-thumping for Sunday's Very Special episode continues apace.


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Wednesday, November 05, 2014

At Disney TVA

I spent a chunk of my afternoon at Disney TVA - Yahoo, not to be confused with Disney TVA Sonora.

(Disney Yahoo is in Media Center North, a block from the Burbank/Bob Hope Airport. Disney TVA Sonora is Television Animation's mothership, located in Glendale near (coincidentally) what used to be Grand Central Airport ... which vanished decades and decades ago). ...

Disney TVA Yahoo has a lot of development going on. Although The 7D remains on hiatus, Jake and the Neverland Pirates and Sophie the First are going strong. Jake is likely in its last season, while Sophie the First has a lot more episodes in its future.

Penn Zero: Part Time Hero continues in work, as does newcomer Lion Guard.

Guard had a bunch of cool decorations in its section of the building; an envious staffer on another show said: "How come they've got money for all that neat stuff?"

Another employee said: "We had money in our budget for wall hangings too. We just spent it on other things."

Ah.

I received a lot of questions about other work going on around town, also questions about the Vanguard 401(k) and the oncoming Roth component. Artists know there's a continuing wave of cartoon production in town, and they want to know who's doing what. (I mentioned that Cartoon Network has new shows ramping up.)

It's always useful to know where different life rafts are floating if you have to jump ship. ... Or get pushed overboard.

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The Contenders

Late, as usual, in getting this up. But better late than not at all.

And the features under consideration for a Little Gold Man are ...

“Big Hero 6”
“The Book of Life”
“The Boxtrolls”
“Cheatin’”
“Giovanni’s Island”
“Henry & Me”
“The Hero of Color City”
“How to Train Your Dragon 2”
“Jack and the Cuckoo-Clock Heart”
“Legends of Oz: Dorothy’s Return”
“The Lego Movie”
“Minuscule – Valley of the Lost Ants”
“Mr. Peabody & Sherman”
“Penguins of Madagascar”
“The Pirate Fairy”
“Planes: Fire & Rescue”
“Rio 2”
“Rocks in My Pockets”
“Song of the Sea”
“The Tale of the Princess Kaguya”

Several of the films have not yet had their required Los Angeles qualifying run. Submitted features must fulfill the theatrical release requirements and comply with all of the category’s other qualifying rules before they can advance in the voting process. At least eight eligible animated features must be theatrically released in Los Angeles County within the calendar year for this category to be activated. ...

Twenty. A nice, round number. I'm old enough to remember when, if you got twenty animated features in a five-year period, you were lucky.

Times change.

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What Molly Said


Sent by a constant reader.

... Companies are not loyal to you. Please never believe a company has your back. They are amoral by design and will discard you at a moment’s notice. Negotiate aggressively, ask other freelancers what they’re getting paid, and don’t buy into the financial negging of some suit.

I’ve cobbled together many different streams of income, so that if the bottom falls out of one industry, I’m not ruined. My mom worked in packaging design. When computers fundamentally changed the field, she lost all her work. I learned from this. ...

Don’t be a dick. Be nice to everyone who is also not a dick, help people who don’t have the advantages you do, and never succumb to crabs in the barrel infighting. ...

Never trust some Silicon Valley douche-bag who’s flush with investors’ money, but telling creators to post on their platform for free or for potential crumbs of cash. They’re just using you to build their own thing, and they’ll discard you when they sell the company a few years later. ...

Judging from her picture, Molly is young. But Molly is wise. It took me forty-plus years to absorb and process the lessons Molly already knows.

Many artists hope and believe that a company or power-individual will lift them up, help them, save them. This happens, I think, because many artists focus on their art, and all the energy and passion they pour into it leaves them open, vulnerable, and childlike in other areas.

Like, for instance, dealing with sharp operators in business. Lots of creators just don't want to wrestle with the business crapola. They want to put their time and intellect into what engages them. This is understandable, but (sadly) wrong.

Because artists need to know the basics of protecting themselves, and how not to get fleeced. For that they need a base-line knowledge about earning a living in today's fine, corporatist state. When they do, they have a fighting chance or surviving.

The days of a paternalistic workplace are way back there in the rear-view mirror. And the paternalism was mostly a mirage anyway.

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Tuesday, November 04, 2014

Why So Many Cartoons Are Made

Because creators of animation see (and so aim for) this:

... How To Train Your Dragon 2 completed its run in U.S. theaters before the third quarter began. But, thanks to a strong international box office performance, the movie is still racking up revenue.

And that's just the beginning for sales tied to Dragon 2: The film was recently launched into the digital home entertainment market, where it jumped to the top of the download list on Apple's iTunes store. Management also expects more than $60 million in consumer product sales tied to the franchise through next year. ...

The reason so many cartoons (of all types) get created year by year is that so many cartoons make so much money. And keep making it.

But these are the big, high-budget, high profile American cartoon features. There are also the second tier features from Spain, South America, Europe and Africa that cost from $10 to $45 million and make neat, tidy profits without major releases in the U.S. and Canada.

The fact is, animation has become the most reliable and profitable segment of the film industry, and that's why so much of it gets made in 2014. We are way past the era where cartoons were a small, sleepy side show to the real movie business. Animation has become more mainstream than mainstream movies. Sometimes the reality of it is hard to get your head around.

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Crowded Competition

Artists ask me (with amazement) why animation is roaring the way it is. Variety catches wise.

... [T]he list of [animated feature] submissions is increasing because other countries are realizing the value of Oscar recognition in this category, where there is far less competition than in the foreign-language race, which this year received 83 submissions. Countries repped in animation’s list of 20 include France, Ireland, Japan, the U.K. and Latvia.

And Hollywood is more prolific than ever. Fox distributed five of the films (“How to Train Your Dragon 2,” “Mr. Peabody and Sherman” and “Penguins of Madagascar” from DreamWorks Animation, plus “Rio 2″ from 20th Century Fox Animation and Blue Sky and “The Book of Life,” Reel FX Animation), and Disney accounted for three (“Big Hero 6,” Walt Disney Animation; and two from DisneyToon Studios and Prana, “The Pirate Fairy” and “Planes: Fire and Rescue”).

Animated films are often a studio’s heaviest hitters. Just three films this year brought in $1.5 billion at the global box office: “How to Train Your Dragon 2,” “Rio 2” and “The Lego Movie.” ...

It's not just features that are animation profit centers.

Small screen animation -- cable, broadcast, internet -- is going great guns. L.A. studios are hiring, Texas studios are hiring, Georgia studios are hiring.

The reasons are clear enough if you care to look: there are fortunes to be made in merchandising and licensing and endless re-runs from evergreen properties. Because the cash flows from animated half hours go on forever (just ask the heirs and assigns of William Hanna and Joe Barbera.)

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Monday, November 03, 2014

Sony and Seibert

The trades tell us:

Budding animators will get the chance to get their shorts funded by Sony Pictures Animation under a just-launched incubator project with the YouTube channel Cartoon Hangover, which is part of Fred Seibert’s Channel Frederator online multi-channel network.

Sony and Cartoon Hangover are launching GO! Cartoon to capture up-and-coming talent and give them a pipeline into Sony’s animation operations. The incubator will pick a dozen creators from online submissions, with Sony financing a short by each to appear on the GO! Cartoon channel. At least one will be turned into a limited series for the channel, said Sony Pictures Digital Production President Bob Osher. ...

The new arrangement echoes what Seibert and Osher did while working at Turner Broadcasting Networks two decades ago. Then, Seibert was courting up-and-coming talent through Cartoon Network showcases for their one-off shorts, and compiling them into anthology shows that later spun off into series.

Osher credited the Cartoon Network incubator programs with uncovering future stars such as Genndy Tartakovsky, the animation wizard behind ’90s- and ’00s-era hits such as Dexter’s Laboratory, Powerpuff Girls and Samurai Jack. More recently, Tartakovsky was director of Sony animated feature Hotel Transylvania and its upcoming sequel. ...

The thing about Fred is, he's an entrepreneur, creating new companies, partnering with YouTube, striking alliances with various entertainment conglomerates.

Adventure Time, one of Mr. Seibert's properties incubated at Nickelodeon under its shorts program, became a hit for Cartoon Network when Nick put AT into turn-around.

Fred was a pioneer in television cartoon development back in the early nineties, where Hanna-Barbera had an open-door policy toward animation artists who aspired to be creators of their own shows. The shows developed at H-B in the early nineties jump-started Cartoon Network a few years later.

That same incubation process is still working for Fred Seibert on-line. (Same technique; different pipe-line). Now it's up to the Animation Guild to organize this blossoming work.

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TAG 401(k) News

So I was in a long Animation Guild 401(k) Plan trustee meeting today, and we now have some newer bells and train whistles which will be rolled out in coming months. ...

After discussion, Plan trustees voted to add a Roth 401(k) piece to the TAG Plan. This will mean that participants will have the option to contribute wages into a Roth account. Unlike traditional 401(k) accounts, employees will pay taxes on Roth contributions, after which those contributions will be free of taxes evermore.

Not all studios will necessarily participate in the TAG Roth 401(k), but we're hopeful that most of them will. (Roth 401(k)s came into existence in 2006 and have been rolling out slowly since then. Today over half the 401(k) Plans in the country own a Roth component.)

You'll find answers to various questions regarding Roth 401(k)s at this handy government website. A number of people have wanted this option for some time; we're happy that we'll soon be able to provide this new option.

From Vanguard:

-- An important benefit of the Roth 401(k) is the strategy known as "tax diversification".

-- Just as investors hedge the risks of stocks by holding bonds, so participants can hedge the risk of uncertain future tax rates by holding both Roth and pre-tax savings.

-- While this strategy can be attractive to high earners, it may also be useful for participants at any income level who are on track for replacing a high percentage of their income.

-- The Roth 401(k) may also make sense for participants saving at the maximum and for participants paying a low rate o tax today.

-- A second benefit of the Roth 401(k) is the ability to increase the effective value of retirement savings by pre-paying retirement taxes today.

Adoption Statistics

-- 52% of eligible Vanguard plans have elevated Roth 401(k).

-- Average participant adoption by plan is 13%.

The TAG Roth 401(k) will be kicking in during the first half of 2015.

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TEN - A Magical Collection by Ten Fab Females


*click image for larger view

Gallery 839 November 2014 Art Show
November 7 - 28

Opening Reception: November 7
6:00 pm to 9:00 pm

Gallery 839
1105 N Hollywood Way, Burbank, CA


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Sunday, November 02, 2014

The Power of Second Bananas

The media notes:

... Though they were relatively minor — but pivotal — characters in "Madagascar," the penguins proved to be comedic superstars. Not only were they featured in the sequels, they also starred in their own popular Nickelodeon series, "The Penguins of Madagascar." ...

So after portraying a comedy sideshow in multiple animated features, after toplining the TV show, why not headline a movie? Especially when it looks to open almost as big as Christopher Nolan's space movie? ...



Then there's Minions, coming out next year, starring the short yellow scene stealers from the Despicable Me features. Most of Hollywood's green eyeshade types estimate that the spin-off will rake in big bucks and even bigger merchandising.

So how can it miss, especially with all the free marketing? (Note the last five seconds, now viewed by 28 million eyeballs on-line):



Lastly, there is Puss in Boots 2, destined to be on a theaters screen near you in 2018. The first outing made $555 million at world turnstiles, so it makes sense that there will be a second.

The use of second and third bananas isn't new, of course. Disney still gets good mileage out of Captain Hook and Smee in its far-flung empire.

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"Wall" - the Gray Lady's Review

The New York Times weighs in:

Cartoon Network’s new 10-episode series, “Over the Garden Wall,” isn’t quite like anything else on television, but it’s a little bit like a lot of things you’ve seen. Guessing at what has influenced its creator, Patrick McHale, is one of the pleasures of watching it. ...

What Mr. McHale seems to be after, with his grist mill and pumpkin farm, his soundtrack of original songs in various nostalgic styles and his retro designs — the mill owner’s Abe Lincoln ensemble, the teapot Greg wears on his head — is a kind of whimsical neo-Americana. It has the look of a dark fable but the mood of a fairy tale. ...

So the show rolls out tomorrow and continues through the week. And if America embraces the characters and concepts, there will no doubt be more episodes beyond the original set.



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Foreign Box Office

The global totals:

Weekend Foreign Box Office -- (World Cumes)

Dracula Untold -- $12,400,000 -- ($188,958,945)

Big Hero 6 -- $4,800,000 -- ($10,900,000)

Guardians of the Galaxy -- $4,100,000 -- ($765,068,537)

The Boxtrolls -- $3,500,000 -- ($96,361,537)

But one of the bigger stories is about a different hybrid animated feature:

... “Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles” rocketed past the $400 million mark globally after debuting in first place in China.

Thanks largely to a warm reception in the People’s Republic, “Ninja Turtles” topped foreign charts with a $34.7 million haul. China made up the lion’s share of that figure with $26.5 million, but the Paramount Pictures release also racked up $2.3 million in the United Kingdom, $2.3 million in France and $1.6 million in Germany. Its total stands at $434.6 million globally. ...

Who knows? The amphibians might hit $500 million before we know it. And Guardians Of The Galaxy shoved ahead of Maleficent to become 2014’s No. 2 movie in the worldwide queue.

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Saturday, November 01, 2014

Spidey

The trades report:

... Producer and head writer John Semper Jr. gathered up his cast for a reunion panel Saturday for a discussion 20 years in the making. He's previously avoided talking about the series Spider-Man: The Animated Series, but said he'll dedicate the next year to honoring its memory. ...

Semper revealed that the cast (including J. Jonah Jameson himself Ed Asner) has agreed to reunite for an upcoming project they plan on using crowdfunding to finance. The animated project would be titled Rocket Men, which would harken back to retro-pulp style of something like The Rocketeer. ...

There have been numerous incarnations of Spider-Man, the animated character. He was a cartoon in the 1960s, and a cartoon in most of the decades since. He's been done as a CG and traditionally-drawn super-hero. Most recently he's been a mainstay on Disney XD as Ultimate Spider-Man, produced at Film Roman (in Burbank) rather than Marvel Animation (in Glendale).

Separate and apart from Spider-Man: The Animated Series (referenced above), the question of another season for Ultimate Spider-Man has cropped up.

A few weeks back, nobody I talked to knew if there would be more episodes ordered ... or if those episodes would be done at Film Roman. But at the end of last week, one of my spies and stoolies (who admittedly might be wrong) said that one more season was going to happen and it would be produced at Film Roman.

Here's hoping.

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