Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Buffett Politics

Warren is probably an outlier among most bajillionaires re his political philosophy:

Q: How has your understanding of markets contributed towards your political views?

WB: I wouldn’t say knowledge of markets has. My political views were formed by this process:

Just imagine that it is 24 hours before you are born. A genie comes and says to you in the womb, “You look like an extraordinarily responsible, intelligent, potential human being. Going to emerge in 24 hours and it is an enormous responsibility I am going to assign to you – determination of the political, economic and social system into which you are going to emerge. You set the rules, any political system, democracy, parliamentary, anything you wish, can set the economic structure, communistic, capitalistic, set anything in motion and I guarantee you that when you emerge this world will exist for you, your children and grandchildren.

What’s the catch?

One catch – just before you emerge you have to go through a huge bucket with 7 billion slips, one for each human. Dip your hand in and that is what you get – you could be born intelligent or not intelligent, born healthy or disabled, born black or white, born in the US or in Bangladesh, etc. ...

WB: (continued) You have no idea which slip you will get. Not knowing which slip you are going to get, how would you design the world?

Do you want men to push around females? It’s a 50/50 chance you get female. If you think about the political world, you want a system that gets what people want. You want more and more output because you’ll have more wealth to share around. The US is a great system, turns out $50,000 GDP per capita, 6 times the amount when I was born in just one lifetime.

But not knowing what slip you get, you want a system that once it produces output, you don’t want anyone to be left behind. You want to incentivize the top performers, don’t want equality in results, but do want something that those who get the bad tickets still have a decent life.

You also don’t want fear in people’s minds – fear of lack of money in old age, fear of cost of health care.

I call this the “Ovarian Lottery”. My sisters didn’t get the same ticket. Expectations for them were that they would marry well, or if they work, would work as a nurse, teacher, etc. If you are designing the world knowing 50/50 male or female, you don’t want this type of world for women – you could get female.

Design your world this way; this should be your philosophy. I look at Forbes 400, look at their figures and see how it’s gone up in the last 30 years. Americans at the bottom are also improving, and that is great, but we don’t want that degree of inequality. Only governments can correct that.

Right way to look at it is the standpoint of how you would view the world if you didn’t know who you would be. If you’re not willing to gamble with your slip out of 100 random slips, you are lucky! The top 1% of 7 billion people. Everyone is wired differently. You can’t say you do everything yourself. We all have teachers, and people before us who led us to where we are. We can’t let people fall too far behind. ...

The U.S. stats right now: We have a generous dollop of wealth concentration and income inequality. In my lifetime, the Top Dogs have climbed way higher, and the ratio of top wages to middle wages has expanded by a factor of ten. This is (pretty much) a worldwide phenomenon, and it is helpful in explaining, I think, the roiling unrest around the globe. Egyptians are ticked off, Ukrainians are ticked off, Thais are rioting. (We've even had, so I'm told, a few demonstrations here in the States.)

I'm pretty utilitarian. I want people to do well, but I want the money spread around a bit. Some people keep yelling about the moochers that are sticking it to the successful people, but I often wonder about just who's successful and why. I mean, a hell of a lot of the "successful people" are propped up by the government. Bankers. Big Farmers. Big Oil. I mean, this breakdown is kind of startling: If you're a working stiff making $50,000 per year, $4,000 of your taxes goes for corporate subsidies. You'd almost think the country is as Gore Vidal described it:

"In the U.S., we have socialism for the rich and free enterprise for the poor."

If you think this is nonsense, then please tell me what the government infusion of 7/10 of a trillion dollars to Wall Street was. It might have saved the GDP from collapsing (and Warren certainly approved) but it was also a massive subsidy to corporate mucky-mucks ... and marked the day when I became a thorough-going, classical Cynic.

If our corporatist state can give $4,000 of middle class taxes to conglomerates, it can damn well spare $60 or $70 for people who really need the dough.


Matthew said...

$"The land of the free and the home of the brave"$

For decades famous people, non-famous people, poets, philosophers, comedians, housewives, accountants, scientists, bricklayers & even some gosh darn millionaires have all been saying very similar things to what you & Mr Buffett have exposited.

The question is, are we finally reaching some sort of critical limit, or tipping point? Are enough people aware & angry of the global economic realities the coming generations face? Or will things continue to remain the same because there are certain people who wish for them to remain the same?

With all that said, I do like Mr Buffetts "Ovary Lottery" metaphor, because it also applies to religion, race, sexual disposition, etc... which Warren also sites, which is great. I hope He & Mr Nick Hanauer use their leverage to help enact change.

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