Wednesday, November 23, 2016

Box Office Prognostications

Now with Add On:

... fresh from the Reporter.

Animated family film Moana is prospering in its Wednesday box-office launch for a likely first-place Thanksgiving holiday finish ahead of Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them. ...

Moana is projected to earn roughly $13 million to $14 million on Wednesday from 3,875 theaters, including a record $2.6 million from Tuesday-night previews. Fantastic Beasts — which already has amassed $252 million at the global box office — is tipped to earn an estimated $10 million to $12 million from 4,144 locations, according to early returns.

At this pace, Moana, the latest offering from Disney Animation Studios, could score a five-day opening of $75 million or more, and possibly north of $80 million. ...

With a sky-high "Fresh" rating from Rotten Tomatoes and a stellar Cinemascore, Moana will likely sail along through the holidays and into the new year.

Earning four times its opening weekend grosses (doing the turnstile math on the Koch Box Office Calculator -- patent pending), Moana could end up in the $250,000,000-$300,000,000 domestic gross range.

Add On: Also from the Reporter:

Disney's homegrown animated family film Moana feasted at the Wednesday box office, opening to $15.7 million from 3,875 theaters as it sails toward a historic Thanksgiving holiday debut of $87 million to $91 million, according to early estimates. ...

Add On: Regarding Moana, Lin-Manuel Miranda talks about the joys and challenges writing songs for Disney's latest blockbuster.


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