The Mojo predicts a small drop for Penguins.
Forecast (Dec. 12-14)
1. Exodus - $29 million
2. Mockingjay - $11 million (-50%)
3. Top Five - $8.2 million
4. Penguins - $7.1 million (-35%)
To date, Penguins of Madagascar has collected $153,432,709 worldwide. It doesn't look as though it will turn into a blockbuster, and how Home performs (it's due out early next year) is anyone's guess.
DWA thought Penguins was the stronger yuletide offering; I wonder if any DreamWorks execs are second-guessing the decision?